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EL SALVADOR
ECUADOR
URUGUAY
09/05/2024
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2024.05.09)
Uruguay's new global UI 2045 bond came out at a 3.4% rate, while the retap of the UYU33 stood at 9.15%
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08/05/2024
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2024.05.08)
We take a look at the announcement of the issuance of a new 2045 global UI and a retap of the UYU2033.
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03/05/2024
(2024.05.03) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
Uruguay’s Monthly Inflation Prints +0.63%mom
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02/05/2024
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2024.05.02)
We take a look at March's fiscal figures.
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02/05/2024
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2024.05.02)
We take a look at March's fiscal figures.
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29/04/2024
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2024.04.29)
On Saturday, the PIT-CNT presented 430k signatures supporting the plebiscite to rework the social security system.
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17/04/2024
(2024.04.17) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
El Salvador announced the results of the tender offer for its Eurobonds maturing in 2025, 2027 and 2029.
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12/04/2024
(2024.04.12) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
ELSALV 30 came out at a 12% yield, collecting USD1bn
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11/04/2024
(2024.04.11) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
The BCU lowered the policy rate by 50bp to +8.5%.
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11/04/2024
(2024.04.11) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
Some additional thoughts on the recent developments
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09/04/2024
(2024.04.09) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
El Salvador announced a tender offer for its 2025, 2027 and 2029 eurobonds.
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03/04/2024
(2024.04.03) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
Uruguay’s Monthly Inflation Prints +0.02%mom
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03/04/2024
(2024.04.03) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
The fiscal balance clocks in at -3.6% of GDP in February
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03/04/2024
(2024.04.03) TPCG Uruguay Strategy View
The fiscal balance clocks in at -3.6% of GDP in February
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22/03/2024
(2024.03.22) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
Uruguay’s growth clocked in at +0.4%yoy in 2023
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05/03/2024
(2024.03.05) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
Uruguay’s Monthly Inflation Prints +0.64%mom
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01/03/2024
(2024.03.01) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
The fiscal position clocked in at -2.1% of GDP in January
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01/03/2024
(2024.03.01) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
The fiscal balance clocks in at -3.6% of GDP in January
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23/02/2024
(2024.02.23) TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash
In February’s COPOM meeting, board members decided to maintain the policy rate at +9%.
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05/02/2024
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2024.02.05)
We take a look at January's CPI print
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01/02/2024
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2024.02.01)
We take a look at December's fiscal figures.
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01/02/2024
TPCG El Salvador Strategy View (2024.02.01)
We take a look at December's fiscal figures.
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04/01/2024
(2024.01.04) TPCG Uruguay Strategy View
We take a look at December´s CPI print
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02/01/2024
(2024.01.02) TPCG Uruguay Strategy View
We take a look at November´s fiscal print, the 3Q23 BoP figures, and the BCU´s decision to lower the policy rate by 25 bp to 9%.
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02/01/2024
(2024.01.02) TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash
We take a look at November´s fiscal figures.
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27/12/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy View (2023.12.27)
We present our baseline scenario for Uruguay's 2024.
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15/12/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.12.15)
Uruguay's GDP contracted by -0.2yoy in 3Q23.
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05/12/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.12.05)
We take a look at November's CPI print
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01/12/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.12.01)
We take a look at October's fiscal figures.
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01/12/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.12.01)
We take a look at October's fiscal figures.
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17/11/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.11.17)
In yesterday's COPOM meeting, BCU officials lowered the policy rate 25bp to +9.25%.
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06/11/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.11.06)
The administration announced a re-tap of the 2034 SSLB.
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03/11/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.11.03)
We take a look at October's CPI print
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01/11/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.11.01)
We take a look at September's fiscal figures.
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01/11/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.11.01)
We take a look at September's fiscal figures.
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05/10/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.10.06)
In yesterday's COPOM meeting, BCU officials lowered the policy rate 50bp to +9.5%. In addition, we take a look at the recent slippage of the UYU
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04/10/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.10.04)
We take a look at September's CPI print
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02/10/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy View (2023.10.02)
We take a look at August's fiscal print and the 2Q23 BoP figures.
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02/10/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.10.02)
We take a look at the 2Q23 BoP print and August's fiscal figures.
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15/09/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.09.15)
Uruguay’s GDP contracted by -2.5%yoy in 2Q23.
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05/09/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.09.05)
We take a look at August's CPI print.
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01/09/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.09.01)
We take a look at July's fiscal figures.
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01/09/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.09.01)
We take a look at July's fiscal figures.
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11/08/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.08.11)
Yesterday the PIT-CNT greenlighted a campaign to challenge the social security reform via referendum.
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10/08/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.08.10)
We take a look at Mr. Labat's comments on inflation, the policy rate and the FX going forward.
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03/08/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.08.03)
We take a look at July's CPI print.
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01/08/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.08.01)
We take a look at June's fiscal figures.
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01/08/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.08.01)
We take a look at June's fiscal figures.
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20/07/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy View (2023.07.20)
We take a look at the 2022 Budget Review, delving into the administration's macro forecasts and fiscal path going forward.
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12/07/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.07.12)
We take a look at the final results of yesterday's issuance and tender offer
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11/07/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.07.11)
We take a look at the recent issuance announcement made by the government of Uruguay, and we price the expected 2033 global UYU-denominated bond.
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07/07/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.07.07)
In yesterday's COPOM meeting, BCU officials lowered the policy rate 50bp to +10.75%.
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05/07/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.07.05)
We take a look at June's CPI print,
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03/07/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy View (2023.07.03)
We take a look at May's fiscal print, the 1Q23 BoP figures and the presentation of the 2022 Budget Review.
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03/07/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.07.03)
We take a look at the 1Q22 BoP print and May's fiscal figures.
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30/06/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.06.30)
The Govt. presented the guidelines for the 10th round of salary negotiations.
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05/06/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.06.05)
We take a look at May's CPI print, the BCU's MonPol path going forward, and the administration's comments on possible FX interventions.
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01/06/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.06.01)
We take a look at April's fiscal figures.
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01/06/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.06.01)
We take a look at April's fiscal figures.
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17/05/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.05.17)
We take a look at Mr. Lasso's decision to enact the Muerte Cruzada.
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17/05/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.05.17)
In yesterday's COPOM meeting, BCU officials mantained the policy rate at +11.25%.
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15/05/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.05.15)
On Sunday, the Assembly renewed its authorities, with the opposition obtaining all relevant positions in a very lopsided session.
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11/05/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.05.11)
We take a look at the aftermath of the Assemby's decision to greenlight the impeachment against Mr. Lasso.
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08/05/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.05.08)
After the Control Commission's report failed to muster enough support, the decision to continue with Mr. Lasso's impeachment passed to the Assembly.
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05/05/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy View (2023.05.05)
We take a look at the aftermath of the bond repurchase and the political situation heading into the key days of the impeachment process.
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04/05/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.05.04)
Uruguay's Montlhy Inflation prints +0.75%mom.
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02/05/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.05.02)
We take a look at March's fiscal figures.
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02/05/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.05.02)
We take a look at March's fiscal figures.
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27/04/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.04.27)
The govt. coalition approved the pension reform in the Lower House.
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27/04/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.04.27) - Labat Conference
We take a look at Mr. Labat's comments in today's press conference.
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24/04/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.01.24)
El Salvador announced the payment of its 2023 Eurobond,
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20/04/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.04.20)
In yesterday's COPOM meeting, BCU officials lowered the policy rate 25bp to +11.25%.
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19/04/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.04.19)
The administration is on its way to greenlight the pension reform. We analyze the concessions made to both Cabildo Abierto and Colorado Party.
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10/04/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.04.10)
We take a look at a recent poll that maps the possible outcome of a snap election.
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04/04/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy View (2023.04.04)
We revise our LCD strategy in light of the recent BoP and inflation prints.
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03/04/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.04.03)
We take a look at the 4Q22 BoP print and February's fiscal figures.
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30/03/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.03.30)
The Constitutional Court finally greenlighted the impeachment attempt against Mr. Lasso.
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30/03/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.03.30)
El Salvador's yearly GDP print clocked in at +2.6%yoy in 2022, slightly under the +2.8% BCR estimate.
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24/03/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.03.24)
Uruguay's growth clocked in at +4.9%yoy in 2022, with 4Q figures standing at -0.1%yoy.
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22/03/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.03.22)
We take a look at the recent political developments, with the impeachment attempt against Mr. Lasso now being delayed by nearly a week.
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21/03/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.03.21)
We present our take regarding the IMF's staff appraisal of Uruguay's 2022.
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16/03/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.03.16)
We take a look at the recent political developments, as the impeachment attempt gains traction within the general public.
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15/03/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy View (2023.03.15)
We present the key takeaways from our recent talks with officials and market participants.
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06/03/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.03.06)
With the Assembly approving the Encuentro Case report, we take a look at the steps the impeachment against Mr. Lasso must go through to come to fruition.
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03/03/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.03.03)
We present our take regarding Mr. Lacalle Pou's announcements.
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03/03/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.03.03) - Inflation
Uruguay's Montlhy Inflation prints +1.0%mom.
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01/03/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.03.01)
We take a look at January's fiscal figures.
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01/03/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.03.01)
We take a look at January's fiscal figures.
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28/02/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy View (2023.02.28)
We present our updated base scenario for El Salvador
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27/02/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.02.27)
On Friday, the CONIAE decided to break negotiations with the administration, in addition to asking for the resignation of Mr. Lasso.
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16/02/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.02.16)
In yesterday's COPOM meeting, BCU officials mantained the policy rate at +11.5%.
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15/02/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.02.15)
After the government's defeat in the referendum, the correist caucus is now pressing its advantage, working different angles to oust Mr. Lasso.
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14/02/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.02.14)
We take a look at the aftermath of the talks with the IMF within the context of the annual Article IV meetings.
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13/02/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.02.13)
The administration issued USD0.9bn in local paper in a joint operation between the MEF and BCU.
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07/02/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.02.07)
We take a look at the definitive referendum results.
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06/02/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.02.06)
We present our take on the preeliminary election results.
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03/02/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy View (2023.02.03)
We take a look at the forecasts for Sunday's election and referendum.
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03/02/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.02.03)
Uruguay's Montlhy Inflation prints +1.55%mom.
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01/02/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.02.01)
We take a look at 2022's fiscal figures.
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01/02/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.02.01)
We take a look at 2022's fiscal figures.
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27/01/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.01.27)
We take a look at how the referendum race is likely to go for Mr. Lasso.
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23/01/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.01.24)
We take a look at the BCU's quarterly monetary policy report, and its baseline growth, inflation and REER scenario for 2023.
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20/01/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.01.20)
We dissect Mr. Bukele's approval ratings, identifying its main drivers.
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17/01/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy Flash (2023.01.17)
We take a look at the recent escalation of the conflict between the Assembly and the CPCCS.
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13/01/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy View (2023.01.13)
We present the Year Ahead for 2023, displaying our baseline scenario for Ecuador.
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04/01/2023
TPCG Ecuador Strategy View (2023.01.04)
We take a look at the aftermath of the agreements with China, in addition to the 3Q22 GDP print, which surprised on the upside.
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04/01/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.01.04)
Uruguay's Montlhy Inflation prints -0.26%mom.
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02/01/2023
TPCG El Salvador Strategy Flash (2023.01.02)
We take a look at November's fiscal figures.
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02/01/2023
TPCG Uruguay Strategy Flash (2023.01.02)
We take a look at the recent policy rate hike and November's fiscal figures.
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